This event group covers the Serie A soccer match between Como 1907 and US Lecce scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Como win, draw, or Lecce win, resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation while win markets resolve NO, creating logical inconsistency. Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely.
Hero Tip:
Confirm Kalshi's cancellation protocol with their support team before trading. On Polymarket, note that a full cancellation would resolve the draw market YES and both win markets NO, which violates the mutual exclusivity of a three-way outcome market. Monitor for game postponement vs. cancellation distinctions.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate markets (Como win, Draw, Lecce win). Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no make-up; both win markets resolve NO if canceled. Postponement keeps markets open. Regular play only (90 min + stoppage). Source: legaseriea.it.
Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Como win, Tie, Lecce win) with no explicit cancellation clause. All reference the game outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of postponement or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.