TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Columbus and St. Louis, focusing on which team secures a victory. The event considers potential scheduling changes, ensuring that outcomes are determined based on the official result if the game proceeds near its original time, or resolved fairly if the game does not occur as planned.
The market resolves based on the result of the NHL game between Columbus and St. Louis originally scheduled for October 10, 2026. If St. Louis wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Columbus’s market resolves to No. Conversely, if Columbus wins, its market resolves to Yes, and St. Louis’s market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under altered circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing opinions among bettors and market participants. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook odds, as traders react quickly to developments.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MLB playoff matchup, as determined by Major League Baseball. The final outcome will be reported and validated by Kalshi following the completion of the games. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in pitching rotations, or even weather forecasts could influence trading activity. Unexpected performance in preceding games, managerial decisions, or even public statements from team personnel could also shift market sentiment. As the series progresses, each game’s outcome will have a substantial impact, driving price adjustments and potentially attracting increased volume.