TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the Columbus vs Saint Louis match. Bettors will be analyzing whether Columbus achieves a decisive win or if Saint Louis dominates by a significant margin.
The event assesses whether Columbus wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or whether Saint Louis wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals in the professional US Open Cup soccer game, scheduled for Oct 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. As with all markets, Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Columbus vs Saint Louis spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the spread will be a certain way, the price for that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final regulation time spread for the Columbus vs Saint Louis game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports league. The market will determine which side of the spread was accurate based on the final score difference, and payouts will be issued accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Columbus or Saint Louis teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis could all play a role. Unexpected announcements about player availability or team performance could also lead to rapid price adjustments as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities.