TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Columbus and DC United. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the official match result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the Columbus vs DC United professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 31, 2026. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time; goals scored during extra time or penalty kicks do not count. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the MLS or any governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the event's probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each source interprets the available data. It’s common to see prediction markets adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Columbus vs DC United match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. Buying a contract is essentially betting that the outcome will occur, while selling a contract is betting against it. The market dynamically adjusts until the event takes place.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Columbus vs DC United match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the official match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored will receive a payout of 100, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Columbus or DC United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineup announcements, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected events during the match itself, like early red cards, could also cause rapid adjustments.