TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Columbus and DC United, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differentials to determine the result. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Columbus vs DC United MLS match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each defined by specific margins of victory for either team. If Columbus wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if DC United wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, that corresponding market resolves to Yes. All resolutions are based exclusively on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts' predictions may also differ from both, providing a broader range of viewpoints on the likely outcome of the Columbus vs DC United match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Columbus vs DC United match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Columbus vs DC United match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The market’s resolution will reflect the official result of the game, providing a clear and objective outcome.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Columbus or DC United teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements or shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could further contribute to price fluctuations in this market.