TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Columbus and DC United. Bettors can speculate on whether Columbus will win, DC United will win, or the game will end in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Columbus vs DC United MLS match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for either Columbus or DC United markets occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves positively if the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regular time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any league affiliation, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly set the prices based on their own beliefs. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect the true probabilities of events, especially when there's significant public interest and informed trading activity. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of expectations surrounding this match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Columbus vs DC United match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants, providing insights into the perceived likelihood of each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Columbus vs DC United match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and official match statistics will determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions, particularly if they are severe and impact playing conditions, can also play a role. Major tactical announcements from either team’s coach, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis, could all contribute to price movements. Any developments that alter the perceived probabilities of either team winning will likely be reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.