TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Columbus Crew and Toronto FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Columbus Crew" if Columbus Crew are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Columbus Crew and Toronto FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Columbus Crew" if Columbus Crew are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toronto FC" if Toronto FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s probabilities are driven by actual money being put behind each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to score first, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in terms of accuracy, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and adapt quickly to new information.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts probabilities based on collective intelligence. The current implied probability of a team scoring first is reflected in the share prices available on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Columbus Crew vs. Toronto FC match. The official game records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential delays or postponements of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be based on the official result as reported by reliable sources following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Columbus Crew or Toronto FC would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, recent match results, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by the coaches before the match, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators, could also move the market. The closer we get to Oct 24, 2026, the more sensitive the market will be to new information and breaking news.