TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Columbus Crew vs. Chicago Fire FC
Volume:
$303,694
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the MLS soccer match between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track whether Chicago Fire wins, Columbus Crew wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes on cancellation but win markets to No. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity about whether canceled games trigger resolution or market voidance.Hero Tip:
Monitor for game postponement or cancellation announcements. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will receive Yes resolution while win position holders receive No. Kalshi's treatment is undefined—contact support immediately. Consider hedging across platforms if cancellation risk is material.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: (1) Draw market resolves Yes if game ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if canceled entirely with no make-up game. (2) Chicago Fire win market resolves Yes only if Chicago Fire wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves No if canceled. (3) Columbus Crew win market resolves Yes only if Columbus Crew wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves No if canceled. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes"' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve "No"' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Three binary markets: (1) Chicago Fire win resolves Yes if Chicago Fire wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. (2) Columbus Crew win resolves Yes if Columbus Crew wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. (3) Tie resolves Yes if the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implicit assumption: all markets require the game to be completed as scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.