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4,340

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Polymarket:

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Colts vs. Steelers - Highest Scoring Quarter
kalshi
polymarket

What is the highest scoring quarter?

Volume:
$8,513

Pittsburgh

 - Kalshi

Pittsburgh - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 2:53 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pittsburgh

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,663
N/A
N/A
$2,070
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Indianapolis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,018
N/A
N/A
$3,454
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,832
N/A
N/A
$1,643
Settled
No
polymarket

Q1

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Q2

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Q3

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Q4

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This prediction market asks participants to forecast which quarter of a Colts vs. Steelers NFL game will have the highest total points scored. The markets cover each of the four regulation quarters, as well as an 'Other' outcome for ties or no scores. Overtime points are excluded from consideration.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines resolution based on total points scored in a quarter, while Kalshi appears to define resolution based on which team scores the most points in a quarter.Hero tip: Kalshi markets in this group are likely to resolve differently than the Polymarket markets. Focus on Polymarket for a more accurate prediction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is based on the quarter with the highest *total* points scored by both teams. "If the first quarter is the quarter in which the most total points are scored by both teams combined. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on which team 'wins' a specific quarter (e.g., the 2nd quarter). "If Pittsburgh wins the 2nd Quarter...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Highest scoring quarter markets for Colts vs. Steelers.

Kalshi

If Pittsburgh wins the 2nd Quarter of the IND Colts vs PIT Steelers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indianapolis wins the 2nd Quarter of the IND Colts vs PIT Steelers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the IND Colts vs PIT Steelers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks focus on maximizing profit, this market aims to accurately forecast the highest scoring quarter of the game.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Colts-Steelers scoring market can diverge due to several factors. Differences in user base, trading volume, and market-making activity all contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to varying risk assessments and predictions. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery on each platform—order books versus automated market makers—can influence how quickly and to what extent prices react to new information. These factors create opportunities for arbitrage, but also explain why the odds on this market aren't always identical across both platforms.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or the Steelers would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also influence trading activity. In-game events, such as early touchdowns or turnovers, will undoubtedly lead to rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant penalties could also move this market.