TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:43 PM EST
Polymarket
First Touchdown Scorer markets for Colts vs. Jaguars.
First Touchdown Scorer markets for Colts vs. Jaguars.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player’s probability of scoring the first touchdown. As more shares are purchased for a particular player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a player is likely to score first, they will buy shares, driving up the price. Conversely, if traders believe a player is unlikely to score, they will sell shares, decreasing the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player actually scored the first touchdown in the Colts vs. Jaguars game. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to verify the outcome. The resolution will be based on the player officially credited with the first touchdown, regardless of any challenges or disputes that may arise after the play. The outcome will be clearly documented and publicly available following the game's completion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting lineup, or weather conditions could shift the odds. A key player being ruled out would likely increase the probability of other players scoring first. Additionally, late-breaking news about a player’s health or performance, even if not an official injury, could influence trading activity. Game-day reports and pre-game analysis from sports analysts could also sway traders’ opinions. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or betting patterns could also cause movement in this market.