TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:40 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Colorado and San Jose will resolve multiple outcome scenarios based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based solely on the total goals scored in the Colorado vs San Jose MLS game scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts for resolution purposes. Each market has a different threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share identical timing and scoring conditions, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the MLS or governing league.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likely total goals scored. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate diverse viewpoints into the pricing of this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of contracts for that outcome will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and reflect the collective prediction of participants regarding the final goal tally in the Colorado vs San Jose match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Colorado vs San Jose match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of their positions.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Colorado or San Jose teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team tactics or starting lineups, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to volatility in this market up until the match begins.