TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:16 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a soccer league, where the focus is on whether both teams manage to score during the regular playing time, including any added stoppage time at the end of the match. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration, excluding any extended play beyond the 90 minutes. This scenario tests the offensive capabilities of each team within the confines of the regular match period.
If Colorado and San Jose both score a goal in the Colorado vs San Jose MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or house bias. This market, driven by individual traders on Kalshi, can incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the likelihood of both teams scoring in the Colorado vs San Jose match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively aggregating collective predictions. A higher price indicates greater confidence in both teams scoring, while a lower price suggests the opposite.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Colorado and San Jose teams score at least one goal during the match. The final result will be determined by official match statistics, and the market will settle based on whether both teams found the back of the net. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Colorado or San Jose would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the coaches, might also cause the market to react. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring could lead to price fluctuations in this market.