TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Colorado and Oklahoma State. It evaluates how much one team might outscore the other during the third quarter, reflecting potential momentum shifts or strategic adjustments that occur in that period.
The event determines whether Oklahoma State or Colorado wins by a specified margin during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, for either team. Resolution depends exclusively on points scored in the third quarter; outcomes from other quarters are irrelevant. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell contracts based on their own predictions. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, traditional sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome regarding the 3rd quarter spread of the Colorado-Oklahoma State football game. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the spread will be as indicated, or sell 'no' contracts if they disagree. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants. As more traders participate, the price tends to become more efficient, representing a more accurate forecast of the actual spread.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final 3rd quarter spread of the Colorado-Oklahoma State football game will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' contracts will pay out. If the actual spread matches the spread represented by the 'yes' contracts, those contracts will settle at 100; otherwise, they will settle at 0. The market's resolution is based on publicly available game data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado or Oklahoma State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions could lead to shifts in market sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.