TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Colorado and New Jersey. It focuses on whether either team will secure a decisive win by exceeding specified goal differentials. The outcome hinges purely on the final score of the match.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets tied to the Colorado vs New Jersey NHL game scheduled for October 20, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the winning team achieves a victory margin exceeding either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, depending on the specific market. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of individual market conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market’s pricing emerges from the collective predictions of individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than traditional polls or initial sportsbook lines, though past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus view on the Colorado vs New Jersey spread.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Colorado vs New Jersey game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the governing body of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 USD per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado or New Jersey teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even unexpected shifts in public perception could also play a role. Major betting trends or large volume trades on Kalshi could also indicate a change in market sentiment, potentially shifting the spread and influencing contract prices.