TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:43 PM EST
Kalshi
Another MLS match features similar wagering options, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined goals surpass set benchmarks. The result hinges solely on the match's regulation-time score, with no consideration for extended play or shootouts.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams combined in the Colorado vs Minnesota professional MLS soccer game scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. Each market has a specific threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the total goals exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming you have a strong conviction about the true probability of the outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived from different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts expectations as the event approaches. The most actively traded contract currently indicates a certain implied probability, which can be observed on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally for the Colorado vs Minnesota game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the governing body of the sport. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual total goals scored in the game. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado or Minnesota team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or tactical adjustments could lead to traders reassessing their probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though this market is driven by actual trading activity.