TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Colorado Avalanche will win their NHL game against the Dallas Stars. Currently, Kalshi gives Colorado a 70.0% probability of winning, while Dallas has a 31.0% chance. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Colorado vs Dallas NHL game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve the day after the originally scheduled match date of October 14, 2026, to reflect the final score.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Colorado vs Dallas NHL game scheduled for October 13, 2026. If Colorado wins, the Colorado market resolves to Yes; if Dallas wins, the Dallas market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own analysis and may adjust them to balance their risk, while this market is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs through trading. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants. It’s common to see this market offer a more accurate forecast, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team wins the NBA Championship series. The official result will be determined by the NBA and widely reported by major sports news outlets. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing teams will not. The precise payout amount will depend on the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, changes in team performance, coaching decisions, and even unexpected trades could all shift the odds. Major upsets during the regular season or playoffs, or compelling analysis from sports experts, can also influence trader sentiment. Any news that alters the perceived probability of a team winning the championship is likely to cause movement in this market. Monitoring team health reports and closely following game results will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market.