TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 10:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Colorado and Chicago, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team secures a win by a specified number of goals. The resolution depends on the final score of the game as recorded by official league sources.
The event consists of four distinct outcome-based markets all tied to the same Colorado vs Chicago NHL game scheduled for November 2, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the winning team achieves a victory margin exceeding either 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Specifically, one market triggers if Chicago wins by more than 2.5 goals, another if Chicago wins by more than 1.5 goals, and two further markets resolve if Colorado wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals respectively. All markets share identical secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the result still applies; if the game is cancelled or does not start within that window, all markets resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions at that time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities. However, differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads in the Colorado vs Chicago game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at each price level, indicating the strength of conviction behind different spreads.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Colorado vs Chicago game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the Colorado vs Chicago spread market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either team, or adjustments to team lineups, could also cause the market to react. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Major upsets in other relevant games might also indirectly impact this market as bettors adjust their overall risk appetite.