TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether Colorado or Chicago Fire wins by a margin exceeding specified goal differences. Thresholds vary from more than 1.5 to more than 2.5 goals for each team, focusing solely on regular time scores.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Colorado or Chicago Fire wins the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. For Colorado, 'Yes' occurs if they win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. For Chicago Fire, 'Yes' occurs if they win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade contracts based on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets being more accurate than traditional betting venues, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders, and the market price adjusts based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds can change rapidly as new information emerges or as sentiment shifts among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Colorado vs Chicago Fire match as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will lose their investment. The market will be closed prior to the event’s completion to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado or Chicago Fire teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact playing conditions, could also shift the market. Additionally, any significant tactical adjustments announced by either team’s coaching staff, or even shifts in public opinion as reflected in sports news and analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.