TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 10:33 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming MLS match between Colorado and Chicago Fire, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If Colorado and Chicago Fire both score a goal in the Colorado vs Chicago Fire MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds more slowly than Kalshi, where prices change rapidly with each trade. While sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders profit from price differences between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Colorado and Chicago Fire will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'Yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the collective prediction of the outcome, dynamically adjusting as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Colorado and Chicago Fire teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match statistics from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine the final result. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome of the Colorado vs Chicago Fire match.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Colorado or Chicago Fire would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and any unexpected lineup announcements could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts in this market. Even early game events, like a quick goal scored by one team, could cause rapid price fluctuations.