TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Arizona St. wins by over 2.5 points
- Kalshi
Arizona St. wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 05d:03h:33m
$
This set of markets tracks the potential point spread outcome between Colorado and Arizona State in their upcoming college football game. Each market represents a different margin of victory, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Colorado vs Arizona State college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. If Arizona State wins by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding "Arizona St. wins by over X points" market resolves to Yes; if Colorado wins by exceeding its specified margin, the relevant "Colorado wins by over X points" market resolves to Yes. Markets remain open and resolve based on final results if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can move the price on Kalshi to reflect their collective view, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the game’s likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Colorado-Arizona State game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades result in financial gains. The current price movements indicate what the collective market believes is the most likely outcome, making it a dynamic representation of informed opinion.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Colorado versus Arizona State game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team dynamics or key player availability will likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can also create momentum and move the market, especially if they signal informed conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential price movements.