TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Washington St.
- Kalshi
Washington St. - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 15, 2026
Time left: 12d:08h:44m
$
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Colorado State and Washington State. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final outcome of the full game. The result depends on who scores more points in that specific segment of the contest.
The market resolves based on which team leads after the first half of the Colorado State vs. Washington State college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026. If Washington State outscores Colorado State in the first half, the market resolves to Yes for the Washington State outcome. If Colorado State outscores Washington State in the first half, the market resolves to Yes for the Colorado State outcome. If the teams are tied at the end of the first half, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. For any game that is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official first-half result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Only points scored during the first half count toward determining the outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly, potentially leading to faster adjustments than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome, and the price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe Colorado State will win the first half, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, offering a unique perspective on the potential outcome of the game. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the first half of the Colorado State vs Washington State game will determine the winning contract. The result will be based on the official game statistics and data as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also contribute to price movements, though the market's price is ultimately determined by trading activity on Kalshi.