TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, determining whether a team exceeds that benchmark. Outcomes are based solely on the official game result, with adjustments for postponements.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of Utah State and Colorado State in their game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold points, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd perceives a different probability of a particular outcome than the sportsbooks do. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored by each team. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that total occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final team totals for both Colorado State and Utah State will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the actual combined points scored by both teams during the game. It’s important to note that any adjustments or corrections to the official statistics will be reflected in the final resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries or changes in coaching strategy for either Colorado State or Utah State would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they impact the teams' offensive capabilities, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking information about team morale or internal conflicts could affect trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Any significant development impacting the perceived scoring potential of either team has the potential to move this market.