TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Colorado State and Utah State. The outcome depends solely on the performance during the third quarter, ignoring the rest of the game.
If Utah St. wins the 3rd quarter of the Colorado St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Colorado St. wins the 3rd quarter of the Colorado St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Colorado St. vs Utah St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that prediction market participants have access to, or place greater weight on, information not fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth—the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels—indicates how confident traders are in their predictions and how easily the price might move with new information. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—Colorado St. or Utah St.—is leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the game. The official game results will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning team. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trusted sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Key injuries to star players on either Colorado St. or Utah St. would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance during the first half of the game, or even pre-game news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups, could also drive price movements. Unexpected weather conditions, if applicable, might also play a role. Overall game momentum and public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can all contribute to shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.