TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Colorado State and Utah State. It allows participants to speculate on which team will dominate the third quarter by a specific margin. The outcome depends solely on the scoring during that quarter, regardless of the overall game result.
The market resolves based on the point differential in the third quarter of the Colorado State vs Utah State college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each outcome represents a different point spread threshold that must be exceeded by either team to settle the market. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets cover a range of spreads from 2.5 to 10.5 points for both teams, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of third-quarter dominance.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches, but significant differences can sometimes present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter of the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders essentially 'bet' on the outcome by taking positions in the market. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more buyers there are for a particular spread, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Colorado St. vs Utah St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the relevant sporting authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The final score will determine the winning contract.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado St. or Utah St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or tactical adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any large volume trades on Kalshi itself could indicate informed activity and cause price fluctuations.