TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of a college football game. It allows participants to speculate on whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the official game result and adheres to specific timing rules for postponements.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Colorado State and Utah State in the first quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points); if the combined score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to a potentially more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information as it becomes available, offering a unique perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total score in the first quarter falling within a specific range. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a real-time assessment of the event's potential outcomes. The current price indicates what traders believe is the likelihood of a particular total score.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total score of the first quarter between Colorado State and Utah State will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It's important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Colorado State or Utah State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the scoring environment, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions might influence trader sentiment. Public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can also indirectly affect the price as information spreads.