TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Texas St. will win their college football game against Colorado St. by more than 17.5 points, as defined by Kalshi. Currently, the probability of Texas St. winning by over 14.5 points is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Colorado St. vs Texas St. game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, with resolution information available from Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the final score on October 15, 2026 will determine the outcome of this market.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Colorado St. vs Texas St. college football game scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. If Texas St. wins by the exact margin specified in a market's title, that market does not resolve as 'Yes'—it must exceed the threshold. For instance, a market requiring Texas St. to win by over 30.5 points resolves only if the victory margin is 31 points or more. Conversely, markets for Colorado St. winning by specified margins resolve if their victory exceeds the stated points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve per the final outcome. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert predictions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded with financial gains.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Colorado St. vs Texas St. football game. The platform will then verify the outcome against publicly available data to determine which contracts settle at 100 and which settle at 0. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout based on the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. News regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even significant shifts in weather forecasts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or player availability would likely cause the market to react quickly. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal a shift in expectations and move the price of this market.