TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how much one team outperforms the other specifically in the final quarter of a college football game. Bettors predict whether the margin of victory will exceed certain thresholds set for either team during that decisive period.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Colorado St. vs Texas St. college football game scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a victory margin exceeding the specified point differential for that market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve per the actual result. If play does not commence within 48 hours, markets settle at a fair price. Six markets favor Texas St. with required margins of over 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, and 2.5 points, plus one for Colorado St. winning by over 2.5 points, with four additional markets requiring Colorado St. margins of over 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, and 10.5 points.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the diverse perspectives of traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment changes. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of potential outcomes, but it's important to remember they are driven by different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread difference between the Colorado St. Rams and the Texas St. Bobcats at the end of the fourth quarter will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado St. Rams or the Texas St. Bobcats would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role in shaping the market’s price.