TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 10:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific segment of an upcoming college football game. It provides a way to speculate on short-term performance during the third quarter of play, rather than the overall game outcome.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the third quarter of the Colorado St. versus Texas St. college football game scheduled for October 15, 2026. If Texas St. scores more points in that quarter, the Texas St. market resolves to Yes. If Colorado St. scores more points, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It's common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, and it’s important to consider both sources when making informed decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's price represents the aggregated predictions of all traders, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the 3rd quarter in the Colorado St. vs Texas St. game will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted source. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout based on their positions in this market after the official results are available.
Several factors could influence trading in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected performance during the first half of the game, or even pre-game analysis suggesting a significant advantage for one team, could also cause the market to move. Public perception and betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook odds, might also play a role in how this market evolves before its resolution.