TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 10:52 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Colorado State and Texas State. Outcomes depend solely on which team leads by a specific margin at the end of that quarter, without considering the full game result.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Colorado St. vs Texas St. college football game scheduled for Oct 15, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the winning team exceeds that margin by the end of the third quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who believe the market is mispricing the likelihood of a particular spread. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow for continuous trading, so odds will shift as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific spread, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing opinions, providing a real-time assessment of the likely spread. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Colorado St. vs Texas St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports body. The market will then pay out to traders who correctly predicted the spread, based on their contract positions at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado St. or Texas St. teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they significantly impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and cause the price to move, even without any specific news event.