TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 9:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either team wins during a specific quarter of a college football game. It focuses solely on the second quarter's scoring, ignoring the rest of the match. Outcomes vary based on the margin of victory for either Colorado State or Texas State during that period.
The event resolves based on the point differential between Colorado State and Texas State exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 15, 2026. Markets are structured around varying point spreads, with outcomes determined by whether Texas State or Colorado State achieves a win by more than specified margins (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second quarter; performance in other quarters is irrelevant. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, it remains active and resolves according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The operator disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all team-related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management more heavily, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can reveal where the crowd thinks sportsbooks might be mispricing the probability of a particular result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and taking advantage of price discrepancies. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual second quarter spread of the Colorado St. vs Texas St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Colorado St. or Texas St. teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might affect trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role in driving price fluctuations before Oct 16, 2026.