TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Colorado Springs Switchbacks and Tulsa. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the USL Championship league, focusing solely on regular-time scoring.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during the Colorado Springs Switchbacks versus Tulsa professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. All markets resolve after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the total goals exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across thresholds. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price efficiently incorporates new information and changing expectations. Traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the final total goals and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Colorado Springs vs Tulsa match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the league or governing body overseeing the match. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Colorado Springs or Tulsa teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and updated team lineups can all contribute to shifts in market sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team morale or coaching changes could also play a role in how this market behaves.