TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Colorado Springs Sw and Oakland Roots SC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time, but excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether a team wins by a specified goal differential.
The event resolves based on the final score of the Colorado Springs Sw versus Oakland Roots SC professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome scenarios are evaluated: Colorado Springs Sw winning by more than 2.5 goals, Colorado Springs Sw winning by more than 1.5 goals, Oakland Roots SC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Oakland Roots SC winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The governing rules emphasize that the match must conclude within regular time plus stoppage time for resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes there's an edge not yet priced in by sportsbooks, or vice versa. It’s always wise to compare both to inform your decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The spread itself is the number of goals by which Colorado Springs is favored to win (or not) against Oakland Roots SC, and the price indicates how confident traders are in that spread being accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Colorado Springs vs Oakland match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league organizers, determining whether Colorado Springs covered the spread as defined by the market. The final score will be the determining factor, and the market will settle accordingly based on that result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Colorado Springs or Oakland Roots SC would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they significantly impact playing style, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team morale or tactical adjustments could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected shifts in public perception, even outside of directly relevant news, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.