TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (W)
Volume:
$358,797
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Colorado Buffaloes and Illinois Fighting Illini on March 21 at 9:30 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Illinois win OR Colorado win), creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot resolve NO. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes (Colorado Buffaloes or Illinois Fighting Illini), making it the only resolvable market in this group.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. Kalshi's rules guarantee a YES resolution regardless of game outcome, which violates fundamental market logic and suggests a critical drafting error. Trade only on Polymarket, which has standard winner-takes-all resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if Illinois wins AND YES if Colorado wins, creating a logical impossibility where every realistic outcome produces YES. Key quote: 'If Illinois wins the Colorado at Illinois women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Colorado wins the Colorado at Illinois women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves to exactly one of two mutually exclusive outcomes—Colorado Buffaloes (if Colorado wins) or Illinois Fighting Illini (if Illinois wins)—with a 50-50 cancellation clause if the game is canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'If the Colorado Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to Colorado Buffaloes. If the Illinois Fighting Illini win, the market will resolve to Illinois Fighting Illini.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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