TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:45 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks about which team will score more goals in the second half of a soccer match between Colombia and Peru, or if they will tie. It specifically excludes goals scored in the first half, extra time, or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on regular play plus stoppage time in the second half.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Colombia and Peru, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colombia" if Colombia score more goals than Peru in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Colombia and Peru score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Peru" if Peru score more goals than Colombia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Colombia and Peru, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colombia" if Colombia score more goals than Peru in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Colombia and Peru score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Peru" if Peru score more goals than Colombia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to probabilities that differ from those initially set by sportsbooks, which may be influenced by factors like public perception or house biases. Sportsbooks typically adjust their odds based on betting volume and expert analysis, while prediction markets continuously update based on every transaction. This market’s price can therefore serve as an alternative gauge of the likely outcome, potentially identifying discrepancies or opportunities not immediately apparent in traditional betting markets. It’s a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market may differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume can also vary significantly between the two, impacting price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and risk management on each platform can contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket currently favors Colombia to win the second half at 98, while Predict leans toward the same outcome, though without a reported percentage. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the influence of platform-specific characteristics.