TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:43 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 6 at 7:45 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 6 at 7:45 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Colombia vs. Peru match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively representing the market's collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by informed traders and general sentiment, creating a dynamic and real-time reflection of expectations. The higher the price of a share, the greater the implied probability of that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Colombia vs. Peru match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and the platform's announcement of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Colombia or Peru could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue or significant geopolitical events could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.