TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:44 PM EST
Kalshi
An international friendly match between Colombia and Peru on October 6, 2026, will determine if both teams score at least one goal during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play.
If Colombia and Peru both score a goal in the Colombia vs Peru Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As more people trade, the odds tend to become more accurate, potentially outperforming sportsbook lines. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams to score) or 'No' (one or both teams fail to score). The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the outcome. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of both teams scoring in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Colombia and Peru score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be sourced from reputable sports news outlets and official league records. The final result will be a clear 'Yes' or 'No' based on the goals scored during the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Colombia or Peru would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements close to the match could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or popular opinion, could also move the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.