TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Colombia vs. Paraguay
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Colombia vs Paraguay?

Volume:
$2,817,953

Paraguay

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 2, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Paraguay

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$876,217
N/A
N/A
$385,458
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paraguay

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

PAR

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$38,311
$38,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Colombia

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,034,604
N/A
N/A
$600,416
Settled
No
polymarket

Colombia

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

COL

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$9,362
$99,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$589,462
N/A
N/A
$337,898
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$9,209
$20,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Colombia vs. Paraguay)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a FIFA International Friendly soccer match between Colombia and Paraguay on October 2, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Paraguay winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, and will be resolved using official match statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 2, 2026, to see if this consensus holds as the game progresses.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and prioritize official statistics with a consistent fallback hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official match statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • The primary resolution source is official match statistics; fallback sources are Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus reporting.
  • If the game is canceled without a reschedule, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes' (Polymarket/Predict).
  • If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, the platforms will use Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes' (Polymarket/Predict). Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, or when official data becomes available, utilizing the specified fallback hierarchy.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 between Colombia and Paraguay.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Colombia vs Paraguay professional international friendly soccer match originally scheduled for October 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Colombia or Paraguay occurs if that respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 between Colombia and Paraguay.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate over time, as they incorporate a wider range of viewpoints and are incentivized to reflect true probabilities.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform can vary significantly, leading to price discrepancies. For example, if Polymarket sees a large influx of traders betting on one outcome, its price will likely move differently than Predict, where trading volume is lower. These differences represent varying levels of conviction and information available to each platform’s participants.