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4,377

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College Football: Week 9 Unranked Upsets
kalshi

College Football: Week 9 Unranked Upsets

Volume:
$32,983

3+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

 - Kalshi

3+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 9:46 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,752
N/A
N/A
$10,858
Settled
Yes
kalshi

2+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,916
N/A
N/A
$9,914
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,845
N/A
N/A
$3,920
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,294
N/A
N/A
$1,953
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1+ unranked wins over Top 25 teams

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,176
N/A
N/A
$2,164
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This set of markets tracks the performance of lower-ranked college football teams against highly ranked opponents during a specific week of the season. It focuses on whether unranked teams manage to secure upsets against teams positioned in the top tier of the national rankings. The outcome depends on the number of such upsets achieved in that week.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the number of unranked college football teams that defeat AP Top 25 ranked teams during Week 9 of the 2026-27 season. The AP Top 25 rankings used for determination are those published for Week 9; if no Week 9 poll is released before the games, the most recent poll available will be used. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of upsets—ranging from one to five unranked team victories over Top 25 opponents—and resolves to 'Yes' if the actual number of such upsets meets or exceeds the threshold defined for that market. The markets are independent, allowing for multiple resolutions (e.g., if three upsets occur, markets requiring one, two, and three upsets would all resolve to 'Yes', while those requiring four or five would resolve to 'No'). Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are set by traders who can continuously adjust positions based on new information. While sportsbooks may lag or incorporate broader public sentiment, prediction markets can react more quickly to shifts in team performance, injuries, or weather conditions. This can lead to tighter spreads or more volatile pricing, especially as game days approach.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Each game result will be checked against official scores and box scores from recognized sports authorities. Only confirmed wins by unranked teams over ranked opponents in Week 9 matchups will count toward the final settlement.

Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, coaching changes, or unexpected weather conditions affecting game dynamics. Performance trends leading up to the matchups — such as strong defensive shows or offensive breakthroughs — may also influence trader sentiment. As the games near, any last-minute lineup updates or strategic announcements could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.