TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether unranked college football teams can upset ranked opponents during a specific week of the season. It focuses on the performance of lower-ranked teams against higher-ranked competition, reflecting the unpredictability and excitement of college football matchups.
The event determines whether a specified number of unranked teams win against AP Top 25 ranked teams during Week 5 of the 2026-27 college football season. The AP Top 25 rankings used for determination are those published for Week 5; if no Week 5 poll is released before the games, the most recent poll available will be used. The market resolves to Yes if the designated threshold of unranked victories over Top 25 teams is met, with thresholds varying across different markets from one to five such upsets. Each market specifies a different minimum number of required upsets to resolve positively, allowing for varied betting outcomes based on the expected volatility of underdog performances against top-ranked teams.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Each game’s final result will be checked against the market’s defined criteria, and the market will close based on whether the conditions for an unranked upset have been met in Week 5.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategies, and last-minute lineup updates could all shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, any significant performance trends or surprising early-week game results may cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their bets, impacting the odds as we approach the final week of trading.