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408,027
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This event tracks which women's college basketball teams will secure top-five positions in the AP Poll rankings on November 9, 2026. It reflects the competitive landscape and early-season performance of teams vying for national recognition.
If UConn is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If USC is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If LSU is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Duke is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UCLA is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ohio St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vanderbilt is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maryland is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Villanova is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If TCU is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ole Miss is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nebraska is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If West Virginia is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If California is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Colorado is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If BYU is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia Tech is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mississippi St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gonzaga is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rutgers is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stanford is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Montana St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wisconsin is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Purdue is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Columbia is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If St. John's is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Princeton is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Florida is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Syracuse is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia Tech is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If SMU is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Madison is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Creighton is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Dakota St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fairfield is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harvard is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Santa Clara is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If High Point is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seton Hall is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saint Joseph's is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UNLV is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marquette is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Colorado St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Butler is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgetown is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grand Canyon is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tulsa is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Murray St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If George Washington is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Northwestern is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davidson is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Abilene Christian is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If George Mason is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Dakota St. is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Navy is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (OH) is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Mexico is ranked top 5 on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
It's common to see differences between the odds offered in this market and those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to reflect public perception and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who have a financial stake in the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a team is more likely to be ranked than sportsbooks suggest, the price of contracts for that outcome will rise. This can create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders profit from discrepancies between the two types of odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts on each possible outcome – in this case, whether a specific team will be in the top 5. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with buyers driving prices up and sellers driving them down. This dynamic process allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will be based on the official AP Poll rankings released on that date. The market will determine which teams are included in the top 5 at that point in time. The outcome is based on the official rankings, and not on any pre-release information or projections. Traders should monitor the official AP Poll release to understand the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Early-season game results, particularly those involving teams currently ranked in the top 25, will be key drivers. Major upsets or dominant performances could shift perceptions of a team’s potential. Player injuries or unexpected departures could also have a substantial impact. Additionally, coaching changes or significant recruiting news could move the market. Any information that alters analysts’ or the public’s assessment of a team’s strength will likely be reflected in the trading activity and price movements of this market.