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$192,072,993

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College Basketball (M): Top 10 Ranked Teams on Nov 9 AP Poll
kalshi

Which teams will be in the AP Top 10?

Oct 19, 2026, 8:00 PM EST - Nov 9, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$0N/A

Duke

 - Kalshi

Duke - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 9, 2026

Time left: 06d:20h:24m

Will Duke be a top 10 ranked team on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026)?

100%chance
Amount

$

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Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.Kalshi isn't quoting a YES price right now Illiquid market 6 days to resolution
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Outcome
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Duke

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Arizona

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Florida

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Virginia

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Houston

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Illinois

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Kansas

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Louisville

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Iowa St.

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Michigan St.

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Miami (FL)

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UConn

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Texas Tech

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Michigan

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Nebraska

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Tennessee

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Gonzaga

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St. John's

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Texas

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Ohio St.

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Alabama

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Arkansas

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Vanderbilt

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BYU

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UCLA

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Total markets: 25 of 125

Description

This event tracks whether specific college basketball teams appear in the top 10 rankings of the AP Poll for the 2026-27 season. The rankings are determined by a weekly survey of sportswriters and broadcasters, reflecting the perceived strength of teams early in the season.

Kalshi

If Duke is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UConn is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nebraska is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gonzaga is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If St. John's is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ohio St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vanderbilt is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If BYU is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UCLA is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Purdue is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Villanova is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marquette is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If USC is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia Tech is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maryland is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grand Canyon is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Creighton is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wisconsin is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If West Virginia is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UCF is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If LSU is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Xavier is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If TCU is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If SMU is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Providence is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If VCU is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgetown is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ole Miss is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mississippi St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If DePaul is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saint Mary's is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If New Mexico is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If High Point is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saint Louis is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wichita St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Seton Hall is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dayton is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Syracuse is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Northwestern is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rutgers is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If George Washington is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wake Forest is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minnesota is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stanford is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Colorado St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Colorado is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Boise St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nevada is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Butler is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If McNeese is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Santa Clara is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If California is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Florida is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If George Mason is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tulsa is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UNLV is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penn St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Akron is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UIC is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charlotte is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UC Santa Barbara is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (OH) is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Western Kentucky is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Murray St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Boston College is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UC Irvine is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UNC Wilmington is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Memphis is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia Tech is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richmond is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas St. is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Belmont is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Davidson is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Texas is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UC San Diego is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penn is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Northern Iowa is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wyoming is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If St. Bonaventure is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah Valley is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harvard is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephen F. Austin is ranked top 10 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for this market tracks the current prices for each of the teams expected to be in the Top 10 of the November 9th AP Poll. You’ll find the implied probabilities for each team, reflecting what traders believe is the likelihood of their inclusion. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $0. This allows you to see which teams are attracting the most interest and where the market is focusing its attention regarding the Top 10 college basketball teams.

Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on preseason rankings and expert opinions, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders reacting to news, injuries, and early-season performance. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, offering a unique view on the likely composition of the Top 10.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a team will be ranked in the Top 10 on November 9th. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that team being ranked. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract directly reflects the market’s collective assessment of the team’s chances, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations. The current prices are driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official AP Poll is released on November 9th and is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which teams are considered to be in the Top 10 based on the rankings published by the Associated Press. Any changes or updates to the AP Poll after the initial release will not affect the resolution of this market. The resolution will be based solely on the rankings as they appear in the official AP Poll on that date.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 9, 2026. Early-season games and tournament results will be key drivers, as strong performances can quickly shift perceptions of a team's strength. Major injuries to key players on any of the currently favored teams would also likely cause significant movement. Coaching changes, unexpected upsets, or even recruiting news could also influence trader sentiment. Any information that alters the perceived competitive landscape of college basketball has the potential to move the prices in this market, as traders adjust their predictions accordingly.