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College Basketball (M): #2 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll
kalshi

College Basketball (M): #2 Ranked Team on Week 1 AP Poll

Volume:
$7,810

Duke

 - Kalshi

Duke - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 1:28 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Duke

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,298
N/A
N/A
$3,372
1mo 1w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Illinois

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
$830
1mo 1w 5d
No
kalshi

Michigan

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$858
N/A
N/A
$572
1mo 1w 5d
No
kalshi

Florida

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$792
N/A
N/A
$552
1mo 1w 5d
No
kalshi

UConn

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
1mo 1w 5d
No
kalshi

Arizona

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
kalshi

Iowa St.

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
kalshi

Houston

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
kalshi

Arkansas

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
kalshi

Michigan St.

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
kalshi

Kansas

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
kalshi

Louisville

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 5d
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks which men's college basketball team will hold the #2 ranking in the AP Poll for Week 1 of the 2026-27 season. On Kalshi, Florida leads at 41.0%, followed by Michigan at 18.0%. The market resolves according to the official Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season as the resolution source. Watch for the release of the Week 1 AP Poll rankings on or around December 15, 2026, which will determine the final outcome.

Kalshi

If Duke is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa St. is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UConn is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan St. is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 1 Rankings for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals expressing their true beliefs about the outcome. While both attempt to predict the same event, the incentives and information sources differ, leading to potential discrepancies. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information or react to breaking news than traditional sportsbooks, offering a potentially more dynamic assessment of the situation.

This market will resolve around Dec 15, 2026, and the outcome will be determined based on the official Week 1 AP Poll release for Men's College Basketball. The AP Poll is compiled from votes submitted by a panel of sportswriters and broadcasters, and the outcome of this market will be verified against credible public reporting of that poll. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are attempting to predict the consensus view of these voters, and the market’s resolution reflects that final ranking.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding coaching changes, key player injuries, or significant performance in pre-season games for teams expected to be highly ranked could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in early-season tournaments or unexpected developments in recruiting could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, any revisions to pre-season rankings from major sports analysts or media outlets could influence how traders assess the probabilities, leading to fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.