TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
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This event tracks which college basketball team will secure the #2 ranking in the AP Poll for the week of November 9, 2026. The outcome depends entirely on the official Associated Press release, reflecting the collective opinion of selected sportswriters and broadcasters.
If Duke is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa St. is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan St. is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UConn is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nebraska is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gonzaga is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If St. John's is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ohio St. is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vanderbilt is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If BYU is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UCLA is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Purdue is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Villanova is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marquette is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina St. is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If USC is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia Tech is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maryland is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Grand Canyon is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Creighton is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wisconsin is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If West Virginia is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If UCF is ranked #2 on the Men's College Basketball AP Poll Week 2 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 9, 2026) for the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, reflecting the true likelihood of events as perceived by informed participants. However, sportsbooks often adjust their lines rapidly based on betting action and news, so comparing the two can reveal interesting discrepancies in sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the #2 ranked team maintaining its position. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds constantly adjust based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving beliefs of market participants. The current price represents the market's collective forecast for this outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official AP Poll is released on November 9th and the team's ranking is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect whether the team remains ranked #2 at that time. The resolution will be based on the official ranking published by the Associated Press, serving as the definitive source for determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on the #2 ranked team, or strong performances by teams vying for the top spots, could shift expectations. Major upsets in early-season games, coaching changes, or even significant recruiting news could also influence trader sentiment. Any news that alters perceptions of the team’s strength or its competitors will likely cause fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market, reflecting the changing probabilities.