TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Coastal Carolina and Marshall. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Coastal Carolina vs Marshall college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Marshall wins by the exact margin specified in a market's title, that market resolves as 'No.' For markets where Coastal Carolina is the titled winner, the same logic applies inversely. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning payouts are adjusted to reflect the current probabilities at that time. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, which can slightly skew the implied probabilities. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent a more accurate assessment of the true probabilities of the outcome. However, it’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as differing information and opinions are weighed by each group. Over time, these odds often converge as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders believe Coastal Carolina will cover the spread, the 'yes' side price increases, and vice versa for the 'no' side. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to rapidly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of those trading it. The current price reflects the probability of each outcome as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Coastal Carolina vs Marshall football game. The market will settle to 100 if Coastal Carolina covers the spread, and 0 if they do not. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and final score as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or cover their losses based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either Coastal Carolina or Marshall would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they significantly impact the playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Public perception, as reflected in updated sportsbook lines or expert analysis, can also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations, especially if they represent informed betting activity.