TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Coastal Carolina and Marshall. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win in the first half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Coastal Carolina vs Marshall college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin in that half. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the actual first-half result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning no definitive 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is assigned. The markets cover a range of differentials for both teams, from narrow victories (e.g., over 1.5 points) to larger margins (e.g., over 17.5 points).
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market traders have information or insights that aren’t yet reflected in sportsbook lines. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived from different sources and motivations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly the price adjusts to new information. Traders are constantly evaluating information and adjusting their positions, leading to a dynamic pricing process.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the first half of the Coastal Carolina vs Marshall game will be compared to the market’s contract value to determine winning and losing contracts. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to settle this market. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Coastal Carolina or Marshall would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.