TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Coastal Carolina and Georgia State. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win the half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the designated Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State college football game. If Georgia State wins the first half by exceeding the specified point margin listed in the market title, that market resolves to Yes; if Coastal Carolina achieves the required margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original schedule time, markets remain open and resolve based on the actual first-half result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Therefore, you might find that this market’s implied probability of a particular spread occurring diverges from what sportsbooks are offering. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities than initial sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the correct outcome. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price increases, indicating higher confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likely spread based on the collective intelligence of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread at the end of the first half of the Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual spread, and 0 for all other contracts. The final result will be based on official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Coastal Carolina or Georgia State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact the market. Furthermore, public perception shifts based on pre-game analysis and expert opinions can drive trading activity. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.