TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Cmil Marcel and Sabuka David in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 18 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins against Sabuka David. This market will resolve to 'Sabuka David' if Sabuka David wins against Cmil Marcel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Cmil Marcel and Sabuka David in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 18 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins against Sabuka David. This market will resolve to 'Sabuka David' if Sabuka David wins against Cmil Marcel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cmil vs. Sabuka match, as reported by a widely recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Cmil Marcel or Sabuka David would likely have a substantial impact. Updates on their training status, performance in recent matches, or even pre-match interviews could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, if the match is outdoors, could also influence predictions. Finally, large trading volume from informed bettors could indicate new information or a change in perceived probabilities, causing the market to react quickly.