TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Cmil Marcel and Kucala Viktor in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins against Kucala Viktor. This market will resolve to 'Kucala Viktor' if Kucala Viktor wins against Cmil Marcel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Cmil Marcel and Kucala Viktor in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 4 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cmil Marcel' if Cmil Marcel wins against Kucala Viktor. This market will resolve to 'Kucala Viktor' if Kucala Viktor wins against Cmil Marcel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined by supply and demand; if many traders believe Cmil will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa for Kucala. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cmil vs. Kucala match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares. The process aims to provide a transparent and reliable determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a clear advantage for either Cmil or Kucala could also drive price movements. Publicly released statistics about player form or head-to-head records could also impact the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the relative probabilities of each player winning will likely cause the market to react and adjust accordingly.