TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Club Universitario de Deportes
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 02d:01h:52m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a Liga 1 soccer match between Club Universitario de Deportes and Sport Boys Association, scheduled for November 4, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning, or the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics.
This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 between Club Universitario de Deportes and Sport Boys Association.
The event resolves based on the result of the Universitario vs Sport Boys professional Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for November 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Universitario, a win for Sport Boys, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms by which they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders. This market’s odds reflect real-time supply and demand, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to hedge their bets, a strategy not typically available with sportsbooks. The volume of $479 suggests significant interest in this event.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading incentives, and liquidity levels, all of which influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-04? at 72.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Universitario wins at 71.0%. These differences can also arise from varying interpretations of available information or differing risk appetites among traders on each platform. The total volume of $479 indicates active trading across both venues.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Peruvian soccer match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and how it aligns with their predictions after this date. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Club Universitario de Deportes or Sport Boys Association would likely impact trading activity. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence predictions. Unexpected announcements about stadium conditions or referee assignments might also cause shifts in the market. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths or the match’s likely outcome could lead to price fluctuations.