TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:34 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Club León FC and CF América, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club León FC" if Club León FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF América" if CF América are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Club León FC and CF América, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Club León FC" if Club León FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF América" if CF América are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant number of people believe Club León FC is more likely to score first than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will decrease on Polymarket, indicating a higher implied probability. This dynamic can create opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting based on differing viewpoints.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in Club León FC scoring first, for example, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. This creates a dynamic pricing system that reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants regarding the first team to score in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by identifying which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Club León FC versus CF América match. If neither team scores during the regular playing time, the 'Neither team to score first' outcome will be considered the result. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Club León FC or CF América would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations on Polymarket as traders adjust their predictions.